Vicky Amarnani

Profil Pembicara

1. Market Strategist MonexInvestindo Futures sejak 2009

2. Nara sumber di Media (MetroTv, MNC, Beritasatu, Bloomberg Indonesia)

3. Professional Trader sejak 2003

DISKUSI 30 menit

1. Kekhawatiran pasar

2. Peluang di Pasar Global

3. Strategi Trading dan Tips

Tips Investing/ Trading

Ketahui penggerak harga produk

Putuskan strategi yang digunakan

Jangan gunakan seluruh modal anda di satu tempat

Jangan berharap selalubenar/menang

Kelola Resiko

5

1. Kekhawatiran Pasar

3 faktor yang menjadi fokus

1. Perlambatan China & Devaluasi Yuan akan memicu krisis?

2. Kenaikan sukubunga AS akan menaikkan bunga pinjaman dan menekan pasar finansial dan emerging?

3. Akankah harga komoditi terus tertekan?

RESULT

• RISK OFF MODE (USD NAIK & SAHAM TURUN).

• VOLATILITAS MENINGGI

“Over the past 50 years there has been a global recession once every eight years, on average, so the next one may be brewing. When exactly it

will come is hard to call”

Dampak perlambatan CHINA terhadap mitra dagang

Sukubunga AS ‘0” + pengangguran rendah USD KUAT

OUTLOOK PERTUMBUHAN GLOBAL

2013 2014 2015 2016

Dollar AS menguat dan supply minyak berlimpah

MOMENTUM

Oil rig reduction but production still to follow..

Global inventories at multi-year highs…

2. Kesempatan Trading

Volatile Markets

Attractive Risk to Reward

Day trading / Short Term Trading requires less capital

Trade on Momentum and Strong signals

FORECASTS RELIABLE ???

TRADING FACT

50.00 $/Barel

50.01 $/Barel

0.01 $/Barel

1 Pip CO-LS = 0.01 $/Barel x 1000 Barel = $10

1 Lot CO-LS = $2000

Initial Margin/Jaminan yang dibutuhkan dalam bertransaksi Crude Oil sebesar :

NILAIPIP & MARGIN

Buy 1 lot @ 45.00

Target 48.00

Stop 43.00

Simple Formula:

(Jual – Beli) x kontrak x lot

= (48.00 – 45.00) x 1000 x 1= (3.00) x 1000

= $ 3000

Demand

Buy 1 lot @ 1.12000

Target 1.12500

Stop 1.10000

Simple Formula:

(Jual – Beli) x kontrak x lot

= (1.12500 – 1.12000) x 10000 x 1= (0.00500) x 100,000

= $ 500

Demand

3. Manajemen Risiko & Strategi Trading

Pada pasar volatil

“ It does not matter whether you are right or wrong, but how much you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong”

Kelola Resiko

George Soros

WIN LOSS RATIO 40:60 Anda memiliki 10 transaksi dengan aturan sebagai berikut:

Lot = 1/ transaksi

SL = 20 poin

TP = 40 poin

Equity = $10,000

TRANSAKSI AKAN MENGHASILKAN...

6 Transaksi Loss x 20 poin (pips) x $10/poin = - $1,200

4 Transaksi Profit x 40 poin x $10/poin = + $1,600

Net Profit/ Loss = + $400

Total Equity = + $10,400

Rekening Terpisah dalam bentuk Rupiah (IDR Account)

Bank : BCA Sudirman CenterAtas nama : PT Monex Investindo Futures Nomor rekening : 035.3115.569

Bank : CIMB NiagaAtas nama : PT Monex Investindo FuturesNomor rekening : 008.01.63364.000

Bank : SINARMAS cabang FachruddinAtas nama : PT Monex Investindo FuturesNomor rekening : 000.2838.001

Bank : WINDU cabang RawamangunAtas nama : PT Monex Investindo FuturesNomor rekening : 100.136.919.5

REKENING TERPISAHModal Aman!

Strategi Trading

• Risk• Reward• SL & TP

45

48

43

RENCANA TRADING

HARGA

SUPPORT & RESISTANT

STRATEGI TRADING (DENGAN VOLATALITAS TINGGI)

1. Breakout trading Strategy2. Wash and Rinse Strategy

BREAKOUT STRATEGY FOR VOLATILE MARKETS

BREAKOUT STRATEGY FOR VOLATILE MARKETSOIL 1HR CHART

1 Buy on Double Top Breakout (15 / 30 / 1hr)

Sell on Double Bottom Breakout (15 / 30 / 1hr)

Wash and Rinse Strategy: SELL

W & R

JPY 15 Menit

SELL

STOP LOSS

PROFIT TARGET X2

BUYWash & Rinse Strategy:

W & R

Gold 15 Menit

BUY

STOP LOSS

PROFIT TARGET X 2

2. WASH & RINSE STRATEGY

TIPS FOR TRADING VOLATILE MARKETS

1. Reduce Leverage (e.g. USD 10,000 Equity no more than 1 lot position)

2. Selective Trades (attractive risk to reward)

3. Increase Discipline when Trading

“You may never know what results come of your action, but if you do nothing there will be no result”

Mahatma Gandhi

THANK YOU