ppt ankit m
TRANSCRIPT
APROJECT REPORT
ON
‘’COMMODITY MARKET TREND IN INDIA’’FOR
‘’DEVASHISH SECURITIES PVT. LTD.’’(VYARA)
Submitted toTHE MANDVI EDUCATION SOCIETY
UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF
FACULTY GUIDE COMPANY GUIDE Mrs. Priyanka Desai Mr. Anil shah (Asst.Professor) (Branch Manager)
SUBMITTED BY(ANKIT MISHRA)
ENROLLMENT NO.: (148120592043)
M.B.A- 3rd Semester
INDEX
Industry Profile Company Profile Literature Review Objective of the Study Research Methodology Data analysis Finding Conclusion Bibliography
COMMODITIES MARKET
• Commodities can be traded on either spot markets, or in the form of futures.
• Commodity market an exchange for buying and selling commodities for future delivery
INDUSTRY PROFILE• Two major commodities exchange in India -mcx (multi commodity exchange) - ncdex (national commodities & derivatives exchange
• MCX offer more then then 40 commodities across various segment such as bullion, ferrous and non-ferrous metals ,energy, and a number of agriculture - commodities on its platform
COMPANY PROFILE• During June 1996, Started as Devashish Investment, a family
firm with partners Krishankant Desai and his son Ashish Desai as partners. Senior Partner Krishnakant Desai has long experience as Accountant in Bardoli Sugar Factory
• Devashish Securities Pvt. Ltd Is a recognized sub-broker of SEBI. Kisan Ratilal Choksey, Bombay based Share Brokers. started other departments – Mutual Fund – Insurance Company Deposits etc.
ORGANIZATION CHART
Ankit mishra 6
Mr. Krishnakant Desai(Board of director)
Mr. Ashish K. Desai(CEO & MD)
Mrs. Nikisha Surti(Personnel
Department)
Mr Hitesh Panchal(Finance
Department)
Mr. Mayur Panchal(System and operation
department)
Mrs. Nehal Naik(Marketing
Department)
Mr. Viral Naik(Research and Development)
Mr. Dharmesh Tailor(Product and Dealing
department)
LITERATURE REVIEW Name of author Year Particulars
Vidyaniketan Journal of Management and Research
December- 2013 Background - Commodity market impact on Indian investment sector
Objective-analyse the factors mainly affect on success of Commodity Market in India.
Conclusion - Commodity derivative market are not developed as compare to Capital market. Investors are not understood about Commodity market, it is also one of the barrier for development of Commodity Derivative market in India
Name of author Year Particular
Sanjay Tiwari&
Komal Gupta
2009 December Background- A volatility analysis of these three precious metal commodity gold, silver, copper
Objective-To study the growth of commodity derivatives in India during last threeyears (i.e. from 1st March 2006 to 28thFeb, 2009.
CONCLUTION-gold is less volatile in all three contract in comparison of silver and copper. Copper is more volatile in comparison of gold and silver
Name of author Year Particular
Mukherjee, Dr Kedar Nath 2011 Background-Impact of Futures Trading on Indian Agricultural Commodity Market
Objective-To indentify the impact of futures trading on the agricultural commodity market in India.
conclusion-The conclusion show that the comparative advantage enjoyed by the futures market in disseminating information, leading to an accurate price discovery and risk management, can help in successfully developing the underlying commodity market in India
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY:- Problem Statement:- To understand the commodity market trends in India. Object of Study:- Primary Objective:- To know the trends of the commodity market in India with of
some specific commodities Secondary Objectives:-1) To know the seasonal impact on gold.2) To know the seasonal impact on silver.3) To know the seasonal impact on crude oil. 4) To know the seasonal impact on copper.
Research Design:- Descriptive design has been used in this research.
Source Data:- Secondary data has been used in this research.
Sample Size:- Four commodity
Sampling Method:- The non-probability sampling technique is suitable and
judgment sampling is applicable here.
Trend and return in gold
Jan/1
0
Apr/10Jul/1
0Oct/
10Jan
/11
Apr/11Jul/1
1Oct/
11Jan
/12
Apr/12Jul/1
2Oct/
12Jan
/13
Apr/13Jul/1
3Oct/
13Jan
/14
Apr/14Jul/1
4Oct/
14Jan
/15
Apr/15Jul/1
50
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
trend
trend
Months
Tren
d in
gol
d
Jan/1
0
Apr/10Jul/1
0Oct/
10Jan
/11
Apr/11Jul/1
1Oct/
11Jan
/12
Apr/12Jul/1
2Oct/
12Jan
/13
Apr/13Jul/1
3Oct/
13Jan
/14
Apr/14Jul/1
4Oct/
14Jan
/15
Apr/15Jul/1
5
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
return in %
return in %
months
perc
enta
ges
Seasonal index in gold
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
seasonal index
seasonal index
months
Retu
rn in
per
cent
age
Trend and return in silver
Jan/1
0
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10Jan
/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11Jan
/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12Jan
/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13Jan
/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14Jan
/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
trend
trend
months
tren
d in
silv
er
Jan/1
0
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10Jan
/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11Jan
/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12Jan
/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13Jan
/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14Jan
/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
-20-15-10
-505
101520
retun in %
retun in %
months
perc
enta
ge
Seasonal index in silver
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
seasonal index
seasonal index
months
perc
enta
ge
Trend and return in copper
Jan/1
0
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10Jan
/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11Jan
/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12Jan
/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13Jan
/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14Jan
/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
trend
trend
months
tren
d in
silv
er
Jan/1
0
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10Jan
/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11Jan
/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12Jan
/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13Jan
/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14Jan
/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
return in %
return in %
months
perc
enta
ge
Seasonal index in copper
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
seasonal index
seasonal index
months
perc
enta
ge
Trend and return in crude oil
Jan/1
0
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10Jan
/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11Jan
/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12Jan
/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13Jan
/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14Jan
/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
02000400060008000
10000120001400016000
trend
trend
months
tren
d in
crud
e oi
l
Jan/1
0
Mar/10
May/10
Jul/10
Sep/10
Nov/10Jan
/11
Mar/11
May/11
Jul/11
Sep/11
Nov/11Jan
/12
Mar/12
May/12
Jul/12
Sep/12
Nov/12Jan
/13
Mar/13
May/13
Jul/13
Sep/13
Nov/13Jan
/14
Mar/14
May/14
Jul/14
Sep/14
Nov/14Jan
/15
Mar/15
May/15
Jul/15
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
return
return
months
perc
enta
ge
Seasonal index in crude oil
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
seasonal index
seasonal index
months
perc
enta
ge
FINDINGS
• The chart on seasonal index for the gold,silver,copper, crude oil to there every 6 year average in 2010 to 2015 for the January to December.
• Seasonal index of gold on march and September months -
0.19% and -.028% decreases. But April and august months.0.25% and 0.86% in upward seasonal index.
• Seasonal index of silver on januray and september months -0.58% and 0.61%decreases. But august and December month 0.51% and 0.88% in upward seasonal index.
• Seasonal index of copper on January and September months 0.58% and 0.61% decreases. But July and December months 0.72% and 0.88% in upward seasonal index.
• Seasonal index of crude oil on may and September months -1.11% and 1.18% decreases. But February and April months 1.60% and 1.67% in upward seasonal index
-:CONCLUSION:-
• Season wise investment decision for commodity market can also be possible from the analysis so that maximize return.
• gold is less volatile in all four commodities in comparison of silver copper and crude oil. Copper is more volatile in comparison of gold and silver
• Commodities market in under high risk and high return compare to equity share market and capital market.
Bibliography
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/gold-historical-data
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/silver-historical-data
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/copper-historical-data
• http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil-historical-data
• www.mcxindia.com• www.ncdex.com• http://business.mapsofindia.com/india-marke
t/commodity.html
Thank you