selamatkan malaysia : bersektu buat perubahan - save malaysia

8/3/2019 SELAMATKAN MALAYSIA : BERSEKTU BUAT PERUBAHAN - SAVE MALAYSIA

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Tindak Malaysia:Together we can make a difference


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An assessment of the electoral &

financial outlook for Malaysia.

What the numbers tell us and what

conclusions to draw from it.


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5 THINGS:

1. BN cannot lose,2. They are in trouble. Solution:

push Malaysia into

bankruptcy,

3. IMF come in to clean up.

Blame IMF for the mess,

4. New Rat Race System starts.

5. You dont have to believe a

word that is said!


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Questions:

1. Where are we?

2. How did we get here?

3. Where are we headed?

4. How can we make it better?

RATIONALE BEHIND

TINDAKMALAYSIA.COM


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We supportthe Election Commission fulfilitsmandate to conduct electionsinafree and

fairmanner(Elections Act S 5 (1a)) suchthatitwillenjoypublic confidence. (Federal

Constitution Article 114)

A groupofcaring Malaysianscarrying out community service

through votereducation and

PACABA Trainin

g.


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Ourtraining is basedontheelection laws

andispolitically-neutral.

We arepro-Rakyat and accept any party

thatis votedinfreely andfairly.We believethat Power Corrupts, And

Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely.

Wetakethepositionthattheremust bechecks and balances andthatnoone

party shouldholdtoomuchpower.


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Mobilephonetosilentmode,

Introduction,

Stickers, OutlineofProgramme andduration,

Expected results.


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Tindak Malaysia strategy:

Understand the principles ofpsychological warfare,

How is it used against us?

Develop self-defense measures.

Nations move in 50 to 60-year cycles!

When politicians hold power for toolong, they become arrogant, bullies

and corrupt! The ABCs of politics.


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Middle east:Their goalistoamassfortunesthroughallmeans,legalandillegal,live alife ofluxury,andpreserve theirdynastyinany waythatthey can (suchaspamperedintelligence and

militaryservices, cadresofcorrupt cronies,discriminatory governance todivide the citizenry,and costlyforeignsupport). The resultisthatthesecountrieshave beenfinanciallyplundered, withan

inhospitable business climate,anunderdevelopedprivate sectorandlittle economic andsocialprogress. http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/ML22Ak02.html

9


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Politics

Economics

Social


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BN CANNOT LOSE,

ALTHOUGH BN WANTS THE

PEOPLE TO BELIEVE THEY CANLOSE!

Politics

Economics

Social


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STUDY HISTORY !

Year

Alliance Party/BN* Opposition Total

seatsSeats % seats % vote Seats % seats % vote

1959 74 71.15 51.7 30 28.85 48.3 104

1964 89 85.58 58.5 15 14.42 41.5 104

1969 95 65.97 49.3 49 34.03 50.7 144

1974 135 87.66 60.7 19 12.34 39.3 154

1978 130 84.42 57.2 24 15.58 42.8 154

1982 132 85.71 60.5 22 14.29 39.5 154

1986 148 83.62 55.8 29 16.38 41.5 177

1990 127 70.55 53.4 53 29.45 46.6 1801995 162 84.38 65.2 30 15.62 34.8 192

1999 148 76.68 56.5 45 23.32 43.5 193

2004 198 90.41 63.9 21 9.59 36.1 219

2008 140

62.61 5

2.2 82 36

.93 47.8 222


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BN

140MPs (63.1%)

8states

50.27%ofvotes

PR

82MPs (36.9%)

5states

46.75%ofvotes

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysian_general_election,_2008


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Putra Jaya (BN)

Smallest

6608voters

Kapar (PKR)

Largest

112,224voters

Voters ratio = 1:17Eventhe2nd smallestseat, Lawas,has

15,7

17

, whichis2.4times larger

!


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1515

Selangor ConstituenciesSame DUN but

separated by landand sea


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N45 SELAT KELANGSame DUN but

separated by landand sea


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Four evenlymatcheddistricts

Redrawing ofboundariesto give

three-districtadvantage toParty2

Alldistrictsproduce an evenvotingratiofor eachparty

DistrictA,B,C votes 90%forParty2DistrictDvotes 90%forParty1

Party1 Party2SOURCE:http://www.comprofessor.com/2010/10/gerrymandering-through-corporate.html


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One Voter One Vote ?

Question: Dothe

Chinese & Indiansdecidefor a

simplemajority?


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DESIG

N:1st

112

seats:1.8

5million.2008, BN contested139seatsto win

112seats. 2.08million votes required

(19%).

Total voterpopulation: 10,922,140

Total Parliamentseats:222

Simplemajority: 112seats

Do you agreethat2million candecide

for28million?


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DESIGN:1st 112seats:1.85millionoutof10.9million.

Actually, contest1st 139seatstosecure112 wins:2.08

million votes required.

Can we allow 2milliontodecidefor28million?

Parliament222

seats.S

implemajority = 112seats

Total voterpopulation10,922,140


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Thesmallest112seats comefrom:

Sabah,incl Labuan: 26,

Sarawak: 25,Johor: 13,

Perak: 12,

Pahang: 8,

(Peninsular Malaysia: 61)

Forsimplemajority rule, rural Bumis decide.

Only for2/3majority,thenon-Bumis have a

say!

Seats can beincreased after Mar2011 but

need2/3majority. BN caneven create200

Putrajayas!


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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 1 - 28


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Point No. 1: BN cannot lose.

Isthatthe reason wehavesuch blatant

corruption andinequality?

Is it a coincidence that the poorest

groups with the worst infrastructure,education and health-care facilities,

are the king-makers?

Is it a coincidence that the natives are

driven off their land to join the urban

poor?


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Its goodto

belong tothe

Ruling Class!

States withthehighestincidence

ofpoverty:Sabah & Sarawak


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Resultsofnotpaying attention:

Ruling Party enjoyed2/3majority for

morethan50 yearssince1957.

Consequences:700 Constitutional

amendmentssince1957.Compare withUS,234 yearsold:Only 27

Constitutional amendments.

Answer:Youhavetoprevent a 2/3majority to avoidtoomuchpowerinthe

handsofthe Ruling Party.


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21-06-1962, Constitutional Amendment:

Article116:Safeguardtomaintain voterdifferenceto lessthan15% removed.

Clauses (3), (4) and (5): Clauses wererepealed by Act 14/1962, sub-section 22

(c)

Source: (page197)

http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_protect/---protrav/---

ilo_aids/documents/legaldocument/wcms_125966.pdf


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(4) Each State shall be divided into

constituencies in such manner that each

constituency contains a number of electors asnearly equal to the electoral quota of the State

as may be after making due allowance for the

distribution of the different communities and fordifferences in density of population and the

means of communication; but the allowance so

made shall not increase or reduce the number

of electors in any constituency to a number

differing from the electoral quota by more

than fifteen per cent.


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and for the purposes of this Article the

number of electors shall be taken tobe as shown on the current electoral

rolls and the population as counted at

the most recent census..

Clauses3,4 and5 were removed by a

Constitutional amendmenton21.02.1962


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The electorate in almost all seats will have tobe within 5% of 76,000 voters

34

Boundary CommissionforEngland

launchedon13

/0

9/11for consultationonnew constituency boundariesinEngland


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Basis

Variation in seat

sizes %

(standard

deviation)

Smallest seat

(as % of

average)

Largest seat (as

% of average

% of seats

within 5% of

national limit

(mean?)

% of seats

within 10% of

national limit

(mean?)

UK proposed

system -2015Electorate 2.2 29 105 99 99.5

USA -2002 Population 4.4 76 140 90 96

England

current

system - 2010

Electorate 8.6 77 153 44 79

Australia -2010 Electorate 9.1 64 132 67 87

UK current

system -2010Electorate 11.1 32 157 37 69

Canada -

2008Population 21.3 26 166 22 40

Jamaica -2007 Electorate 24.8 65 154 3 25

France -2007 Population - 7 163 - -

Malaysia

current

system

Electorate 13 228 6 17

http://www.lewisbaston.co.uk/2011/01/britain%E2%80%99s-unequally-sized-constituencies-are-a-non-existent-problem/


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Politics

Economics

Social


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Politics

Economics

Social

They start looking

for alternatives!


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CIVIL UNREST: When the poor are hungry

and angry, they have nothing left to lose !

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EGYPT

40


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Do we wantthis?

No!


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WE GO BANKRUPT BY

2013!


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BONDS: Thompson Reuters Eikon

DOMESTIC DEBT: Treasury Report

GLCs: Annual Accounts

CAUTION: There may be some double-counting due to

obscurity of some of the figures in the Treasury Report.

GLC & Domestic Debt Analysis: Credit to Lee Wee Tak


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NATIONAL

DEBT

Govt Bonds

USD 179.8 B

13.01.2011


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ScreenshotofThomson ReutersEikon


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NATIONAL DEBT GLCs

USD 19.5

Billion

GLC:Govt-

linked cos

USD Million


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DOMESTIC DEBT

USD 125.9 Billion USD 136 B

31st Dec

In3 years,

domestic debthas

goneup by 70%!


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TOTAL DEBT USD 331.4 B

TOTAL

DEBT/GDP:139.36%

Debt/GDP:Ireland Dec

2010:96%

Greece May

2010:134%


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TOTAL DEBT USD 331.4 B

WHERE IS THE MONEY COMING FROM?

MOST MONEY COME FROM THE STATES


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MOST MONEY COME FROM THE STATES

BUT THEY GET LESS THAN GLCs !

!

Treasury Report


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CAN IT GET WORSE?

Debt/GDP:139%, annual deficit:4 5%

Operating expenditureeatsup all revenue & pensionsdependon currentincome.

How cantheGovt afford giving out RM 500perhead? Whatsthesource?


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RM 200 vouchersfor1.3millionstudents:RM 260million,

One-offRM 100 aideachto5.3million

students: RM 530million.RM 500for3.4millionhouseholds: RM

1.8 billion,

Nowadays,projects go by the billionsinsteadofmillions.

Isthatthe reason why things areso

expensive?


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0.00%

2.00%4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

Bureaucracy as % ofPopulation

1.4M CivilServants,3 MRELA = 4.4M

How long canthis go

on?

Problem: Lowproductivity,poor work

attitude, corrupt,

entitlement-mentality.

Does a changeofgovtsolvetheseproblems?


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WHAT ARE THE PIIGS ?

P: Portugal

I: IrelandI: Italy

G:GreeceS:Spain

WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PIIGS DEFAULT ?


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WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PIIGS DEFAULT ?

THEY GET SLAUGHTERED !

Bond yields shoot sky-high Is that Malaysias fate ?


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GREECE

Bond-buyers have to take a hair-cut !

In lateOctober2011,euro-zone

governments calledonGreecetosecure

a 50% write-downonthedebtheld by

private creditors.

Must charge very highinteresttocompensate morethan100%!

Source:Wallstreet Journal


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Wehaveoil palm!

Wehaveoil & gas! Wehaveelectronics & electricals!

Wehavehighsavings rate EPF!

BUT MALAYSIA IS DIFFERENT !


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In2009 Robert Kuok hadtosell offhis

sugarmonopoly tosomepolitically-

linked businessmen.

How doesithurtus?

Robert Kuok invested inthe worlds

largestsugarmill in Australia.O

urinternational sugarprice wentup.


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SUGAR PRICE

International sugar

price goesdown

Domestic price goesup40

%although worldpricedropped!

Why ?


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Oil palm: Najib asked China toincreaseoil palm

importfrom Malaysia butnodeal. Why?

Robert Kuoks Arowana Cooking Oil controls

40%ofChina domestic oil palm refining Then Robert Kuok decidedtoinvest

USD 10 B inIndonesia oil palm. Thatsour

lowest-cost competitor! Will ithurtus?


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Oil & gas: We becomenetimporter by

2014,2015!

Govt demanding more andmore

money from Petronas.

Petronas triedtostoptheoutflow.

Soprevious CEOforcedout & replaced

with Najib nominee.

Ex-CEOnow working forSingapore.

WESTILL HAVEOIL

& GAS.


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Thisdependsonforeign countries.

Europeisinserioustrouble. Sos theUS.

Even China ishaving a housing bubble

andifherex

ports arehitforher biggestmarket (Europe),she will import less

from Malaysia.

Outlook doesnot look good.

WHAT ABOUT

ELECTRONICS &

ELECTRICALS?


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NOTHING CAN HAPPEN TO CHINA !

Property crashing - Chinese ghosttown:http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/1928-China-Crash-Coming-China-That-Urban-Empty-Feeling?highlight=china+ghost+cities


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The softlanding view foresees Chinese

centraltechnocratsresponding timely

with well-calibratedfiscalandmonetarypoliciesthatmaintain GDP growthofaround8%,the annualrate Beijing must

achieve toabsorbnew graduatesintothe workforce andkeepunemploymentmanageable.

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Th h d l di i di h


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The hardlanding scenariopredictsthatanuncontrolledimplosionofthe property

market willunleash wavesofwealthdestruction,a credit crunchandconsumption collapse thatnoamountof

governmentintervention willbe able tomeaningfullyforestall.

SoutheastAsia willinevitablybe among the

worsthitbyasoftorhardlanding in China.

http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/ML22Ae02.html

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OUR GOOD OLD EPF


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Malaysia cannot borrow cheaply from

international market as we areinthe

samesituation asGreece. Sothey tapintoEPF for cheapfunding.

By now 60%is gone!

Thatsour retirementsavings!

OUR GOOD OLD EPF

WILL SAVEUS!

Dont feel bad. Govts do this as a matter of routine when they

are in trouble.

http://malaysiatoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/EPF-in-

Trouble2.pdf


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IMPLICATIONS: INTERNATIONAL BAILOUT

Greeceoutlook: Look atGreecessituation

ExpulsionfromEU,

New currency withmassivedevaluation, Job loss,

Dropin wages,

Saleofstate assets,

Cost-cutting pensions,subsidies, civil

service, welfare aid, govt services,


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Petronas, banks andinsurance cosforcedto buy low interestGovt bonds,

Equivalent loansfrominternational

market will exceed10%interest,

LOCAL IMPLICATIONS

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/civil-

servants-fear-losing-jobs-in-iwk-restructure/

Restructuring anddown-sizing Govt,

slashpensions,subsidies, govt services.


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DO THE BUSINESS PEOPLE KNOW?

RM 39,000/person!

Highestinthe worldper capita!

GFIreports that

Malaysia lostUSD 338Billion (RM 1.08trillion)

from year2000 2009.

5th largestinthe world!


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How much is RM 1.08 Trillion?

Equal to RM 100

notesstacked all

the way from

Singaporeto

Phuket!

RM 540 B in5 years.

RM270

B forsmallest112seats.

3.698million voters.

Lossper voter:

RM73

,000


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Equal to RM 100

notesstacked all

the way fromSingaporeto

Phuket!

Capital flight

RM 150 B in2009,

24%ofGDP !

Wheredidthis

money comefrom ?

3x KL MRT

RM 250,000/family !


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An Amah in 1970 earned

more than a Graduate

today?!!0.39

0.4

0.41

0.42

0.43

0.44

0.45

0.46

0.47

0.48

1970Amah 2010 Graduate

Monthly Salary (oz of gold)

1970Amah

2010

Graduate

0.426

0.476 oz


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CASHINGOUT !PUSHING MALAYSIA TO

BANKRUPTCY!

DOOUR LEADERS KNOW ?

FELDA:


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Nevermind,they will findsomesuckersinthe KLSE

to buy theirsharesduring listing.

FELDA:

Dr. Tan Kee Kwong,ex-Dep MinofPrimary

Industries:In2001, FELDA had RM 4.5Bcash. They shouldmake RM 2 B per year.

By 2011they shouldhave RM 25B cash.

Instead,they oweEPF RM 6.5 B. Why ?


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KL MRT priced at12times

Beijing Shanghai HighSpeed Train.

Noteconomical sure bankrupt.

KLIA2: COST JUMPED FROM RM 1 6 B


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KLIA2: COST JUMPED FROM RM 1.6 B

TO RM 3.9 B WITH 1YEAR DELAY!


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Sg BesiAirport

land, worth RM

5.2 B butsoldforonly RM 1.6 B !

BEFORE THINGS FALL APART


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Regain2/3majority toshoreuptheirpowers,

Put all the lawsinplaceto control

dissent, Country goes bankrupt.

IMF invitedin,

Millions losetheir jobs, Civil servants chopped by 2/3,

BEFORE THINGS FALL APART


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PREPARING FOR UNREST !

Lawstosuppressdissent

Public Assembly Bill

Lawstoextractmoney fromthepublic:IRB Law,

New licensing laws,

Others ?



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Public Assembly Bill passedtopreparefor

repression by thepolice


As law-abiding citizens,itisourduty toobey the law.

Let all Malaysians stay home for1 week!

EVENTS OUTSIDE OUR CONTROL


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EVENTS OUTSIDE OUR CONTROL

SOVEREIGN DEFAULT: Italy,

Greece,

Spain, France,

UK,

US, China

WHAT ARE IN DANGER ?


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WHAT ARE IN DANGER ?

Banks, Commercial property & housing,

Borrowings andhigh-gearing for

businesses, Mortgagesforspeculativeinvestments,

Shares,

Mutual funds, EPF.

B k R


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Bank Runs

EXPORT MAIDS


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EXPORT MAIDS

& LABOUR

HYPER-


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HYPER-

INFLATION

Wh Will W E d U ??12 FACTORS OF A FAILED STATE


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Where Will We End Up??

1. Uneven development along grouplines,

2. Criminalization &/or delegitimisation of the State,

3. Progressive deterioration ofpublicservices,

4. Widespread violation of human rights,

5. Security apparatus as state within a state,

6. Riseoffactionalised elites

7. Demographic pressures,

8. Massive amount of refugees,

9. Legacy of vengeance-seeking groups over past grievances,

10. Chronic & sustained human flight,

11. Sharp & severe economic decline,

12. Intervention of other states or external factors.

12 FACTORS OF A FAILED STATE.

WE ARE HALF-WAY THERE

30 STAGES OF COLLAPSE


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30STAGESOF COLLAPSE

Public Assembly Bill

IS THERE HOPE ?


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IS THERE HOPE ?

1. Whennearing bankruptcy...

A countrysonly chanceofsurvival isforforeigninvestorsto bring money in.

Will they comeinifitsmanagementis

corrupt?2. Do you wanttohold corrupt leadersto

account?

3. There are198non-violentmethods http://www.aeinstein.org/organizations/org/

198_methods-1.pdf

1ST UNDERSTAND THE SYSTEM


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93Simplification:Usemental models!

1 UNDERSTAND THE SYSTEM

Study tindakmalaysia.com:

History

Religion

Psychology

Social Trends

Finance & economics

Politics Strategiesofnon-violentself-defense


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(Shrinking)

(expanding)


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UMNORebels


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ATTORNEY GENERALSOFFI

CE ELECTION COMMISSION (EC/SPR) IMMIGRATIONDEPT INLANDREVENUE BOARD (IRB)

JAKIM/M

UIS

JUDICIARY MACC MILITARY INTELLIGENCE/UNITTINDAKANKHAS

(UTK) POLICE/SPECIALBRANCH RELA ROS

97


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SYSTEMDEPENDSON CASH-FLOW

LOYALTY ISTOMONEY

SYSTEMBREAKSDOWN WHEN CASH-F

LOWSTOPS

98

HOW DOES THAT HAPPEN ?


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99

Leverage 100x

4 millionforeigners

Are bankssafe?

Are jobssafe?

http://www.imi.gov.my/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=524%3Ajumlah-statistik-pekerja-asing-sah-dan-pati-

yang-telah-didaftarkan-menerusi-program-6p-sehingga-18-ogos-2011&catid=1%3Aberita-terkini&lang=bm


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POLITICS

SOCIAL

ECONOMICS

X

STARVE

THE

BEAST

?

?

SYSTEM RESTS ON CONFIDENCE !


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SYSTEM RESTS ON CONFIDENCE !

CONFIDENCE

&TRUST

WHAT WE NEED !


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102

TheUS: A depressiondoes a lotofgood.

It wipesout badinvestments and

eliminates badspeculators. Itforces

capital intomoreproductive,more

profitableuses. It killsoffzombie

industries. It retires worn-outindustries

and reduces costssothatnew industries

can arise. Itsthe destructionthat

Schumpeters creativedestructionneeds.

2013 Economic cycle: 50 60 years !


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2013 - Economic cycle:50 60 years!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Kondratieff_Wave.svg

HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?


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Bank savings: Converttogold bullion,

Pensions: Withdraw ifpossible,

Stocks andmutual funds:Sell all,

Insurance:Giveitup,

Ta

xes: Minimizee

xposurethroughincorporation,

Commercial property:Sell, 104

HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?


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Stock uponessentials, Food-growing land movetothe

countryside!

Housing: Sell. Keeponly 1tostay,

Businesses: Minimize loans,

Life-style: Cutdownonexpenditure,

Financial: Reducedebt,

PREPARING FOR A HARSH FUTURE


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Dont accept whateverissaidtoday.

Do youownduediligence.

Monitorfutureevents carefully and

compare with whatissaidtoday tosee

ifitmakessense.

Usethe knowledge wisely toprotect

yourselves, yourfamily & yourfriends.

Helpone another.

Our bestprotectionis National Unity.

FURTHER READING


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Banking & debt,simply-explained.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tGk5ioEXlIM&feature=player_embedded

Teh Chi Changs analysis:The Budget & itsShadow.

High Alert!

http://thedailybell.com/Public/Files/High%20Alert%20-

%203rd%20Edition(1).pdf

198 Ways To Bring Down A Dictatorship.

**** Tindakmalaysia.com ****

Tindak Malaysia


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Tindak Malaysia

Spreadthe word!

To befree:

Understandpsychological warfare,

Developself-defense techniques,Mental revolutionneededtotake action.

selamatkan malaysia : bersektu buat perubahan - save malaysia

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